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Go directly down to the interview On July 8-11 2010 I was at The Amaz!ng Meeting TAM8 in Las Vegas, Nevada, at the South Point Hotel to attend the world's largest skeptical event of the year, the annual skeptical convention arranged by the James Randi Educational Foundation JREF.
Each year, TAM invites some of the world's leading skeptical and scientific authors and lecturers, and this year there were over 1,300 attendees there to absorb skepticism.
During TAM, I did a total of four readings on skeptics. One of those I read, was distinguished author and skeptic Dr. Michael Shermer. Shermer holds a master's degree in Experimental Psychology and a Ph.D. in the History of Science. He is one of the most popular contributors to the skeptical movement. Shermer has written 11 books that explore the psychology behind human beliefs and behavior, focusing on topics such as science, pseudoscience and religion.
Shermer's work questions the human attempt at understanding and explaining reality, and is honest in that its historical perceptive even evaluates today's prevalent belief systems. Shermer was once himself a devout Christian, and it is his own rare capability of transcending our own time and given beliefs, combined with his desire and ability of sharing his insights to others that make him one of the leading figures in the skeptical movement, whose agenda is to replace the daydreams of religion and pseudoscience with reality.
I only read Skeptics
One way to investigate the claim is to use it for psychic readings. But as a rule I only do readings on skeptics. When exposed to a variety of information, a skeptic should be capable of distinguishing objective reality from the questionable rest. A skeptic can not be talked into believing nor fooled into accepting an untrue statement even if one were presented with benefits (such as the choice of believing in an afterlife in spite of its lack of evidence but because of the appealing prospect of eternal life). So a skeptic will even embrace topics that might not be preferable, but real. Skeptics pledge to reality.
A Skeptic makes for the most suitable candidate for assessment of a psychic reading. They will tell you if you are wrong. And they will tell you when you are right. And they can discuss with you possible normal sources of accuracy, such as prior knowledge, lucky guesses, misinterpreted normal statistical behavior, external clues in body language, and more. Skeptics do not say they do not want to believe in psychics or extrasensory perception. What they say is that there needs to be evidence before it is safe to allow it entry into the realm of embraced reality. A real skeptic does not choose what to believe, whereas many believers in the paranormal - the so called woos - have often chosen their beliefs based on the appeal of a topic or by having their senses fooled or misunderstood.
We all know that a Skeptic will tell you when you are wrong. That is what Skeptics do. But would a Skeptic admit to accuracy in a particular demonstration of a paranormal claim? Most psychic claimants are convinced that skeptics would never give them credit for accuracy in a particular instance. I never worried about this, and even if it were so, my expectation was to encounter inaccuracy, or that if there were accuracy it would be due to some normal, not paranormal, explanations which the skeptic could help me figure out. And from past experience of doing readings with skeptics, I know that they will admit to any accuracy as well.
When I did a reading on Skeptic Dr. Michael Shermer and the reading went very well, I then had to worry whether skepticism and its denial of psychic claims was a deeply rooted worldview in skepticism and like a religious belief for skeptics, and would Dr. Shermer deny the results like a devout Christian denies evolutionists? I expected him to refuse to discuss the reading afterwards, unlike how passionately skeptics will talk about a failed reading. But his openness and acceptance of the results of the reading as they were, and his willingness to discuss the reading afterwards, still surprises me. But what more, after having just had a strangely accurate and seemingly paranormal outcome of the reading, I expected Dr. Shermer to rescue me with an answer. Dr. Shermer is an expert skeptic, I depended on him like a patient relies on a doctor for a diagnose. What could be the normal explanations that I am looking for to explain the reading which we had just had? Michael Shermer has still not come up with a plausible explanation to the outcome of the reading, and I am left knowing that I have to continue to investigate.
The Reading with Michael Shermer
I then met with Dr. Shermer at the Drinking Skeptically at the Del Mar bar at the South Point Hotel. Lecturers and regular TAMmers were there to mingle in an informal setting. If I recall, I was the one who approached Dr. Shermer. I might have simply wanted to tell him that I appreciated his lecture. I did have a home-made badge that said "Woo" on it, and Dr. Shermer might have asked about that. I did mention to him that I was a woo and described to him what it is that I think I can do. If I recall it was then Dr. Shermer who asked if I would do a reading on him, or maybe it was I who asked if he would volunteer. Either way he seemed quite eager to volunteer for a reading. As I say, I only do readings on Skeptics, and reading Dr. Shermer was an important opportunity in my investigation. Especially since he might be able to explain what is going on with the claim.
Later during TAM we met each other a few times in the TAM hallway and we tried to schedule and re-schedule a time for the reading many times. Eventually Shermer called late on the Saturday night saying that it would have to be now or not at all, and I agreed. I had my very important TAM demonstration the following day on Sunday, and he too would have a busy schedule on the following day.
Shermer returned from the Skepchicks party late and arrived at my room at the South Point Hotel at about 11 PM. Lots of TAM attendees had attended the party until they ran out of tickets. Shermer arrived accompanied by TAM photographer Ingrid Laas. Me and my then-boyfriend were in the room. So there were four of us.
I was very formal about it. I described to Dr. Shermer how I do a reading, and how I don't do a reading. I said that I have the person sit down with their back facing me so that I have no access to eye contact or facial expressions which of course provide many non-paranormal cold reading clues. I had a hard time figuring out where to seat him. None of the chairs would allow me to see his back, and so I asked him to sit on the edge of the bed. I sat down behind him on the opposite end of the bed.
I explained to Shermer that I do not ask any questions and that I use no prior information (at least not intentionally). And that no talking takes place, I say nothing, and he is also asked to not say anything. I use no materials such as dowsing rod and I do not touch the person. There is no interaction or feedback taking place during a reading.
I also explained that I write down my perceptions on paper so that they are not spoken out loud afterwards, because otherwise a psychic could use the interaction and feedback and reactions of the person to customize and adjust their reading, and I do not do that. And that after a reading I would put the pen far away so that nothing can be added nor removed from the notes, and that Shermer would get to see the pages when I will read them for him.
I can not think of a better protocol for a psychic reading attempt. I have eliminated as many of the normal sources of information that a psychic can use that I can think of. There is still visual information and some body language available, but that is why it is good that I am detecting also internal and hidden information, which would be the case even in this reading. My perceptions include information that should come with no external symptoms, especially during an "open reading" as this was.
An open reading is what I here refer to a reading where I am not given a specific thing or a narrow list of things to search for, but rather that the items that I find could be anything! In an open reading I list any and all health impressions I make, and so the list of possible conditions that I could choose from is endless and infinite. If I detect that a person is missing a kidney during an open reading where no prior hints have been given that this might apply, it is far more impressive than when this takes place in a test where I have been told that one out of a select number of people is missing a kidney. To get something right in such an open test, the odds are astounding, and to correctly find something specific as well as entirely hidden would be a difficult thing to guess, for someone who were guessing.
The reading was either one or two hours. I would have to refer to my notes from the reading, which I carefully dated and set the starting and end times of the reading on. These notes are with a credible skeptic - not me nor Shermer - to assure that they should not have been altered. (The notes will be made available here later!)
After the reading I said that I was finished with the reading and I said for all the people in the room to watch me now as I make sure to put the pen far away from me and out of reach so that the notes can not be edited after the fact. I then sat down with Shermer to read him his reading.
The Health Perceptions
But the virus was not contained in any other part of his body other than in the blood. The virus was not in his saliva, not in the lymph stream, it was only in the blood. I said that the virus is distributed all across his body from head to toe though only in the blood. I also said that the virus was not doing anything, it was just suspended in his blood but not touching anything, not touching the walls of the blood vessels, not touching any of the components of the blood. I also said that the virus was small and round shaped.
And I said that I do not know the name of the virus because it is unlike anything I have ever come across before or read about. I said that all I know regarding it being a virus is that it is not the flu virus or HIV virus since what I see is only in the blood and is not affecting his immune system.
I went into great length describing his personality and emotional state. I will not go into detail as most of it is personal, but I described his emotional state using two keywords which seem contradictory to how he comes across as a person.
I said that it was a minor thing but that if he has this he would be aware of it and feel it. That one of the blood vessels going up from the heart sometimes feels pain or constricted right where it leaves the heart.
I said that he is developing schizophrenia and I went into great detail about its implications and symptoms.
The Results
Later when I got home I read up on Hepatitis C, what it is and what it looks like. And what I learned of Hepatitis C then was that it was not a bacterial disease, it is a viral infection. The Hepatitis C virus is small and round shaped. It is carried only in the blood but not found in any of the other body fluids. It occurs all across the body from head to toe but only in the blood. Hepatitis C does not attack the immune system, but what it does is it may cause cancer and lead to liver damage. It can stay dormant in the body for many years without seeming to cause any damage.
My description of the bloodborne viral disease was perfectly consistent with the specifics of Hepatitis C which Shermer has. I did not have prior knowledge of his diagnose, and the thing is, had I known from before that he has Hepatitis C, I would have said that it is a bacterial infection damaging his liver, which is what my then small and incorrect idea of the diagnose was.
Emotions and personality
I gave a very lengthy and in-depth description of his emotions, thoughts, personality and behavior. When I did the reading on him, I found a man who is not what he comes across. Someone who in fact is very much the opposite of what many would think of him. It even contradicted with my logical assumptions of the person and I was surprised myself. I spent most of the reading formulating his personality and emotions. It is interesting, I truly felt as if I was inside his head, feeling him the way that he feels and knows himself. I feel that he is a very deep and complex person, and this is not a standard inclusion in my readings and has never come up in a reading with anyone else before. Shermer said that my descriptions of his personality and emotions was perfectly accurate. Later I have written to him lengthy e-mails going into greater detail and elaborating on what I found in the depths of his mind. It was a beautiful experience for me to be this close to someone as deep and complex as him.
Out of respect for his privacy I will not go into details about the description I gave to him. In fact I made the others leave the room while I gave this information to him.
Blood vessel above heart
Shermer said he is not aware of the pain or problem with a blood vessel just above the heart as I was describing. I did say to him that if he has this then he would be aware of it and be feeling it himself, and so as he said he does not have this I accepted this as an inaccurate health perception.
Schizophrenia
I described several aspects of thought processes, emotions, personality, relations and behavior which I said was a mild or early manifestations of schizophrenia. I also described certain things that would appear later in his life as the condition progresses. Although Shermer agreed with some of the details he says he does not have schizophrenia. However I remain unconvinced whether this perception was entirely inaccurate, so I leave it undecided between accurate and inaccurate.
Analysis and Discussion
Truth is, the night before the reading when I first saw Michael Shermer at the bar, I was stunned to see hologram images superimposed with the image of real vision, depicting his small blood vessels, capillaries, one capillary on either side of him. Inside the image of enlarged capillaries I could clearly see the red blood cells and surrounding them small specks of a disease agent. This is one of the few times when a health perception has occurred not only in my mind but also superimposed with the surroundings that I see. It was similar to the time when I saw a co-worker for the first time and instantly saw the image of female reproductive cysts (which I later found out that she had, severe enough to require surgery) and wanted to shout out "internal female reproductive cysts!" every time I saw her. With Dr. Shermer I was fighting the impulse to shout out "Disease in the blood caused by virus!" I was eager to look closer during the reading with Shermer on the next day.
I was quick to gather the details around the disease that I was feeling. To be honest, the disease feels yellow and sticky across the body. It also feels like a fever. It is a very distinct feeling of sickness or disease. I was quick to establish that it was a virus, not a bacteria, and that it was contained only in the blood and in the blood from head to toe. When it comes to a health perception as loud and clear as this I do not need much time or work to finish the description. I spent most of the time feeling into his head and getting to know his personality and emotions, because it was encaptivating and complex.
Significance? Hepatitis C should also provide no other clues, such as scent. Sometimes some skeptics tell me that maybe one can guess at who is missing a kidney if they smell differently from others who have both kidneys. I have hard to imagine this being the case, especially for something like Hepatitis C. There are no external symptoms of Hepatitis C, and not during the conditions of the reading which we had. I did not have eyecontact with him during the reading, and he was turned away in the other direction.
So that leaves us to guessing, skeptics will say it is a lucky guess. But it can't be! Let's say I was guessing. I am a smart girl, I make all A's in college as both a chemistry and a physics major. I have all A's in math. Surely I would compute that in order for a guess to be successful it must be general, vague, and commonly occurring. To say that he has a disease in his blood is a good guess perhaps. It is perfectly general, and vague. It is good bait to use when fishing for undeserved accuracy. Everybody has sometimes had a disease carried by their blood stream, and most if not all of us right now have a little something in the blood that is not causing any health problems. We are surrounded by pathogens. If the person says no, it is easy for the psychic to say that yes they do they just don't know about it, or that it is something dormant from the past or yet to come.
A viral infection is a good guess perhaps, since it has vagueness and is also fairly common. A person could say no they don't have a viral disease, and the psychic could say that yes you do you just don't know it, it is dormant, or say that everybody has had a flu virus sometime. Or just out of chance the person could say yes, and you've got yourself a hit. But would I guess at something like a viral disease? No I would not. It is too random and out of the blue to guess with. And I wasn't guessing, I was describing what I was seeing and feeling of him.
But let's just go with if it were a guess of a viral infection. No way would anybody then proceed to specifying that it is only contained in the blood and not in the other body fluids. This specificity makes it very hard to have a lucky guess anymore, if there were any chances earlier with the building of this health statement. Aren't most viral infections contained also in the other body fluids? I will study all known viral infections to find out how many of them in number and percentage are only found in the blood and not in the other body fluids to produce a statistical probability of guessing a hit with this specific statement.
But there was more. I also said that the virus was small, round in shape, and not touching anything in the body. This was also correct. How many viruses that are found in the blood are also round in shape? It was just too specific to be a lucky guess. Anyone guessing would never dare to narrow it down so much. And even as I was making the description, my logic was thinking that I was sure to be incorrect. But it was right.
Formal evidence I did everything right in this reading. The person being read is perhaps one of the most reliable skeptics in the world. There were two other witnesses in the room, both of them skeptics. I had Shermer turn around. There was no eye contact, I could not see his face. I did not touch him. I wrote down my perceptions and after the reading I put the pen away so that nothing could be added nor removed from the notes. I let Shermer see the notes while I read them to him and I let him see what I had written. And so as I presented the reading, there was no use of any feedback mechanisms to design or to adjust the reading to better fit. My answers were not influenced or modified by his reactions or answers, my answers could not have been modified due to the procedure I had implemented. And later the notes would remain with an independent skeptic, not with me nor with Shermer. I did everything right this time. And so the outcome of this reading makes for formal evidence. Not anecdotal this time. And so I don't have to be torn as I take this outcome and let it lead me to further investigation, nor should I be torn by other skeptics who would have found this hard to believe had it not taken place under conditions that turn it into formal evidence - say if I had supposedly read a non-skeptic and there had been no witnesses, no notes taken, and no proper protocol in place.
Explanation? But what does Shermer himself think? Let's ask him! With Dr. Shermer's permission I did the following interview with him about our reading and post it here on this page.
Interview with Shermer about the reading
In a circumstance where a woo could lie and cheat, regard any such material as incredulous. I would most rather like to have an audio interview with Shermer, but then again what if I had found someone who just sounds like him? The very best would be an in-person video interview. I might be able to do something like that, maybe at next year's TAM if both Dr. Shermer and I attend. Best for now would be if Dr. Shermer were to also post this written interview in a place where I could not access to edit it. But for now, here it is. Perfectly authentic. Shermer replied to these questions on September 22, 2010.
Note that some parts have been temporarily removed from below! These are indicated in this blue color! I have removed the specifics of how I described Shermer's emotions since I am considering making a survey where everybody can say how they would assume his emotions. That way I can gather some kind of an understanding as to whether my answers were unusual or obvious to most. Check back later, the temporarily omitted parts will later be added back to the text!
So, no deliberate attempts at data mining can be confirmed by me nor Shermer. I did not ask him any questions or try to fish for hints before the reading. Also Shermer does not think that my brief encounters of him during TAM or at his TAM lecture, or from available information for instance online, could have led to the conclusions that I made in my reading of him. Shermer agrees that he does not think that I am using any trickery or fraud.
As for the hip arthritis, I deliberately skipped reading the leg area because I didn't have the time to go through the entire body. I had already taken one or two hours (I need to refer to my notes of the reading to see how many hours the reading took) to describe the two major things, being the bloodborne viral disease and his emotions and personality. Interestingly, Shermer says that his hip arthritis could have been deduced by careful observation of him by normal means, yet the fact that I said nothing about his hip might suggest that I do not use these methods. That I do not "look" at the person to form my perceptions, I "feel" into them.
Shermer says I seem to be "very observant and skilled in finding patterns in things", and he strongly suspects that it may be "rapid cognitive intuition about people, body language, emotional sensitivity, etc., all normal (v. paranormal) means". The reading was done according to a good protocol, which eliminates eye contact, feedback mechanisms etc. Shermer says that if I have a skill, the methods that I am using might be "Normal intuition, plus thoughtful guessing".
I will ask Shermer about the results of his September test, if he thinks it is appropriate to share. The fact that I did not specify that it was Hepatitis C is because I did not know the label, and what I then assumed to know of Hepatitis C was not only little but inaccurate! Shermer also thinks that I am "sensitive and intuitive". Shermer thinks that my description of his emotions and personality might apply to many people. I would beg to differ.
So I sent Shermer some follow-up questions. Shermer replied to these questions on November 3, 2010.
When asked how "rapid cognitive intuition" could lead one to the very specific and detailed description that I gave of the bloodborne viral disease, Shermer realizes that rapid cognition could not lead one to deduce bloodborne virus. He then finds another possible explanation in its place, that being that a medical intuitive might memorize a chart listing a dozen or so conditions outlining the leading causes of death and work their way through that list in every reading. He says that these conditions would be bound to then produce one or two hits with almost anyone you happen to read, "such as cancerous cells, problem with the heart or lungs, brain problems, and the like".
Yet, Shermer lists "cancerous cells", "problem with heart or lungs", "brain problems" as his main examples. I did not mention cancer. I did mention problem with blood vessels above heart, which I embrace as a miss. I sort of did mention "brain problems", but specified this to a highly uncommon condition called schizophrenia. And I doubt that "viral disease", further specified to "bloodborne viral disease, only found in the blood, not found in the saliva, lymph stream or other body fluids, not doing anything in the body not touching the blood vessel walls or components of the blood, small and round shaped" would be listed on Shermer's list of a dozen or so health conditions to run through with every person. Furthermore, if I were attempting such a method of saying the same common things with every person, then all of my readings would be very similar, yet I have never before in a reading mentioned a viral disease, nor schizophrenia, nor the specifics of Shermer's personality and emotions that have emphasis on feelings of [to be added later after the survey]. It just doesn't make sense that I would be using a list of common ailments. And I know that I am not.
None of the suggestions by Shermer as to how I could have described his Hepatitis C and personality and emotions are adequate. It can not be rapid cognitive intuition for the viral infection, and it can not be the use of a common list of ailments for any of what I said with the exception of the blood vessel problem above the heart. Everything else I said was highly unusual, never before said by me in a reading with anyone else before, and certainly not something that Shermer would list if he had a dozen or so common things to list for use in a reading.
If Shermer can't explain it, neither can I. Shermer is a world-leading expert in skepticism. He has a masters degree in experimental psychology, a Ph.D. in the history of science. He probably knows everything there is to know about how observations and experiences can be misinterpreted into seeming paranormal. He knows all about test design. Yet his first explanation that I be using intuition does not make sense. His second explanation of using a list of common guesses also does not make sense. I don't think Shermer can explain the reading, and neither can I.
All I know is that I have to continue to investigate.
Hepatitis C is barely contagious and can only be passed on from blood-to-blood contact. Normal everyday interaction with an infected person are not risk factors. Long-time spouses of an infected person do not catch the virus, and about the only thing to avoid doing with an infected person is to share the same toothbrush. People can live long and healthy lives in spite of being infected.
Michael Shermer
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you failed again he didn't have hep C at the time of the reading are u nuts?
There is no reason to keep investigating.
You just spin it to keep on thinking that there is something there when there isn't,
everyone can see it except you...
" Shermer lets me talk to him about this reading because it makes me almost nervous
to see how accurate it was."
This is your biggest problem it was not in the slightest bit accurate!!!
You made 3 inaccurate medical perceptions.
He does not have a blood borne virus.
There is nothing wrong with his blood vessels.
He doesnt have schizophrenia.
3 guesses 3 failures 3 inaccurate medical perceptions.
Its that simple but you just can't let it go can you..
YOu had 3 guesses and got them all wrong .
How is that an accurate reading and worthy of further investigation?
3 inaccurate medical perceptions , he's not schizo , has no blood vessel problems
and didnt have a blood borne virus at the time you read him.
Your problem is u have a disconnect from reality.
regards, Geoff
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